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Tuesday, October 07, 2008

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JP, your post here hit home with me. I'll be honest that I don't know anyone who works at WaMU personally, but the way you described the job losses really got me thinking. Frankly, you're right - the trickle effect of these losses are more than just data and stats on this month's jobless report. Here in Atlanta, we've had losses and I can see the effects of less people in coffee shops, less people watching the game at the local pub on Sunday (excluding the real drunkards - they'll loyal no matter what the consequences!), shopping carts only filled halfway at the grocery store, etc. In my eyes, it's the market psychology that takes a hit as well. We hear it called 'consumer confidence', but it's deeper than that. Most normal people feel pretty bad after getting out of a long relationship - well, it's the same with work. There is a part of us that we leave behind with major life changes - sometimes for the better, but that loss can still be felt in our own psyche. When you're in your early 20s', it's fun to turn a new chapter in life . . . but that gloss can wear off when the pages keep turning.
I wonder how the FOT crew (and our market in general) feels about the inevitability of certain business models. In Atlanta, there was an ongoing joke that WaMU would lend to anyone - it was as if you could fill out the paperwork for a stated income, you could get a mortgage (at a ridiculously high rate for going with the stated income, but you'd get approved nonetheless.) I personally had a friend living in a $800k house when he should have been in one probably less than half that . . . with a good ole' stated income mortgage from WaMU. I honestly wonder how the people that work at an institution giving loans out like this feel about their job security in the long run.?.
Anyway, I'm rambling, but paying attention to not only what the media is saying, but also what my friends/family/neighbors are saying as well. I guess that as I get older, I become a better listener (well, I hope anyway!)

good post, pankow. the point you raise regarding WaMu's corporate giving and the impact of its fall to charitable organizations... this is something that's a huge issue right now for folks who work in the corporate responsibility space. if you add up all the giving by WaMu, AIG, Freddie, Fannie, Bear Stearns, etc., and take a snapshot of it in 2008 versus 2009... i think the drop will be huge. hard times...

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